Now that free agency is upon us, it’s time for every random fan to play armchair GM, and start spouting wild speculation about who they think their team should go after in the off-season. Of course we hear at at Big Apple Baseball aren’t just some random fans who want to be GMs, we’re random fans who want to be GMs, with a website! So here are my targets for the Yankees this winter.
1) Robinson Cano : The no brainer in the group, Cano is the best player on the team by far. The Yankees have to resign him if they hope to convince the fans they are serious about contending this year. There is no other second baseman available this winter that can come close to his production, both offensively, and defensively. If he goes, the Yanks will likely have to trade for either Brandon Phillips (.261/.310/.396) this year, Howie Kendrick (.297/.335/.439), or sign free agent Omar Infante (.315/.335/.450).
While Kendrick and Infante may not seem like huge downgrades from Cano’s (.314/.383/.516) 2013 stats, the numbers don’t tell the whole truth. None of those players can come close to the power that Robby displays, he is pretty much a lock for 30 homers a year, none of the alternatives are likely to break 20 or even come close. Not to mention his elite defense at second base.
The other issue with guys like Kendrick and Phillips is that both are still under contract for 2014. The Yankees don’t really have the prospects to get a deal done that won’t handcuff them in the future. It would likely cost a Nova or Sanchez to pry Kendrick from the Angels, and that is not a price the team should be willing to pay for 1 year of Howie Kendrick. As for Phillips, he has 3 more years left on his current deal deal with the Reds and I have to think that there is a team out there with better prospects to get a deal done, possibly the Royals.
That really just leaves Omar Infante as the only acceptable option if the Yanks lose Cano this winter. Infante is the same age as Robby, and has had some good years, I was a little surprised at some of his numbers when I was researching for this article, he is as career .279 hitter and solid defensive player as well. Like Cano, he’s not exactly the quickest guy on the bases, but you can live with that. The real loss is in the power department, as he only averages 10 homers a season.
All in all the Yankees need Cano back this winter. No one can come close to what he provides on the field. Unfortunatly there is no help coming from the farm system anytime soon, Corban Joeseph sure isn’t the second baseman of the future. Is Omar Infante and acceptable replacement… yes, but this is the Yankees we are talking about, second best is not acceptable.
1a) Masahiro Tanaka: The best pitcher in this years free agent class comes not from America, but from Japan. For the past 3 seasons, Masahiro Tanaka has posted a sub 2 ERA, his career WHIP, 1.108, granted that’s in the Japanese league. Now, just for a fun comparison, Matt Harvey’s career WHIP, including his time in the minors is 1.137. While that may be a somewhat silly comparison, it give you an idea of what kind of pitcher Tanaka is.
Not only is Tanaka a clear ace, he is also 25 years old. Players of his caliber are never available at that age. Especially when it only will cost the Yankees (or whatever team eventually signs him,) money. After Yu Darvish garnered a $52 million dollar posting fee, one can only imagine how much Tanaka will command, my bet would be somewhere around $60 million. Fortunately that fee does not count to the luxury tax, so for the Yanks, money should not be an issue.
The only issue with Tanaka, is that the MLB and NPB are currently renegotiating the posting process. There has been some recent uncertainty as to whether or not these two baseball behemoths will get the new deal done before the start of next season. If they don’t strike a new deal players may use the proposed new system, or may not sign this off-season.
So those are my top prioritys for the Yankee off-season. I will be writing up 2 through 5 later this week, and then 6-10 some time after that. Let me know what you guys think in the comments.